Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.106374 0.126092 0.148160 0.174649 0.205539 0.240380 0.282616
2025-02-02 0.076533 0.102077 0.133888 0.176235 0.230930 0.298975 0.389808
2025-02-09 0.058828 0.086162 0.123188 0.176615 0.251266 0.351325 0.494947
2025-02-16 0.047873 0.075840 0.116472 0.179138 0.272512 0.405454 0.607737
2025-02-23 0.041155 0.069792 0.113991 0.186156 0.299720 0.469854 0.741689
2025-03-02 0.033466 0.060504 0.104660 0.180676 0.306481 0.503948 0.833816
2025-03-09 0.028553 0.054716 0.099686 0.180880 0.321443 0.551409 0.950981
2025-03-16 0.024187 0.048987 0.093729 0.178217 0.330775 0.590174 1.057613
2025-03-23 0.021607 0.046030 0.092075 0.182622 0.352434 0.651305 1.207649
2025-03-30 0.018721 0.041917 0.087583 0.181015 0.362812 0.693637 1.329041
2025-04-06 0.016025 0.037676 0.082136 0.176670 0.367278 0.725455 1.434345
2025-04-13 0.013631 0.033620 0.076395 0.170817 0.367870 0.749799 1.527791
2025-04-20 0.012355 0.031875 0.075291 0.174528 0.388359 0.814824 1.706888
2025-04-27 0.011120 0.030000 0.073625 0.176829 0.406287 0.876882 1.887013
2025-05-04 0.009925 0.027988 0.071326 0.177365 0.420464 0.932778 2.060378
2025-05-11 0.009011 0.026507 0.070015 0.179931 0.439316 1.000115 2.263801
2025-05-18 0.008450 0.025853 0.070587 0.186986 0.469066 1.093390 2.530759
2025-05-25 0.007318 0.023389 0.066253 0.181485 0.469041 1.122072 2.661324
2025-06-01 0.006595 0.021951 0.064321 0.181690 0.482534 1.181956 2.866187
2025-06-08 0.005842 0.020262 0.061441 0.179015 0.488615 1.225512 3.038317
2025-06-15 0.005444 0.019592 0.061250 0.183439 0.512965 1.313749 3.321186
2025-06-22 0.004879 0.018260 0.058970 0.181825 0.521603 1.365533 3.523371
2025-06-29 0.004295 0.016738 0.055875 0.177462 0.522446 1.398468 3.683531